PropertyMesh Research

Where Ontario Homes Sell Above Asking

The share of homes that sold at or above what the seller originally asked — measured against the first asking price of the relisting chain, so a home relisted at a lower price cannot flatter the numbers. High above-asking rates often say as much about local pricing strategy (listing low to invite bidding) as about market strength; read them together with the sale-to-list ratio below.

Report period
2026 Q3
Status
FINAL
Eligible sales
35,180
Methodology
v1.1 · full notes

Finalized October 2, 2026 — these figures are frozen and will not change without a visible revision note.

Analyst commentary — 2026 Q3

Commentary for this report period has not been published yet. The figures on this page come straight from the finalized snapshot data above.

At or Above Original Asking — 2026 Q3

Share of eligible sales at or above the original asking price. Ontario overall: 20.4%.

Ontario cities ranked by share of homes sold at or above original asking
CityAt/above askingEligible sales
1Timmins69.5%164
2Thunder Bay68.5%368
3Kenora62.3%69
4Kitchener41.9%489
5North Bay40.6%217
6Waterloo39.5%263
7Kenora Remote Area36.2%58
8Markham35.5%769
9Cambridge35.1%291
10Ajax33.1%257

Cities below the disclosure floor are excluded — sample sizes shown per city. Full table, every metric and every city: open the interactive index.

What Sellers Asked vs What Buyers Paid

Two ratios tell the strategy apart: sale ÷ original ask uses the first price the home was ever listed at; sale ÷ final ask uses the price it sold from. A wide gap between them means price cuts and relistings did the work.

20.4%
Sold at/above original asking (%) (Ontario)
2026 Q2: 23.0%
96.5%
Median sale-to-original-list ratio (Ontario)
2026 Q2: 96.5%
97.2%
Median sale-to-final-list ratio (Ontario)
2026 Q2: 97.7%
79.6%
Sold below original asking (%) (Ontario)
2026 Q2: 77.0%

Where Bidding Pressure Is Building — or Fading

Biggest changes in the at/above-asking rate among qualifying cities.

Biggest movers in Sold at/above original asking (%) vs 2026 Q2
City2026 Q2CurrentChange
Pembroke27.1%11.3%-15.8 pts
Quinte West29.6%14.1%-15.5 pts
Dysart Et Al25.8%12.7%-13.1 pts
Saugeen Shores31.0%17.9%-13.1 pts
Severn20.7%8.5%-12.2 pts
Frontenac21.3%9.7%-11.6 pts
Essa14.3%3.1%-11.2 pts
Prince Edward County20.8%9.8%-11.0 pts
Thunder Bay79.3%68.5%-10.8 pts
Carleton Place16.7%6.3%-10.4 pts

Year-over-year comparison is not available yet (the series starts Q3 2025) — showing change vs the prior quarter (2026 Q2). Red = market moving hotter, green = cooler.

Above Asking ≠ Above Value

“Sold over asking” is a comparison with the seller's chosen number, not with the home's worth. In neighbourhoods where agents deliberately list below expected value with an offer date, most sales go “over asking” by design. In markets where sellers price at or above expected value, few do — even when prices are firm. That is why we anchor to the original asking price and publish both ratios; the mechanics are unpacked in our original-vs-final asking price guide and the sale-to-list ratio guide.

Cross-reference with market speed: a city that is both fast and high above-asking is genuinely competitive; a city that is slow but “over asking” is usually a list-low pocket.

Above-asking rates describe past sales relative to seller pricing decisions — they are not a measure of value gained, not a prediction of resale outcomes, and not investment advice. Figures use the original asking price of the full relisting chain (see the methodology); city cells require at least 50 eligible sales.

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