PropertyMesh Research

Ontario Market Heat Index

How fast homes sell, how often they fetch asking price, and how much room buyers have to negotiate — measured city by city from MLS sold data, with relisting chains merged so the numbers reflect a home's full time on the market.

Period
Rolling 90 days
Status
LIVE
Last updated
August 31, 2026
Eligible sales
3,138
Qualifying cities
26
Methodology
v1.1 · notes

Filtered view — reset to the full index.

Rolling snapshot of the last 90 days (2026-06-03 to 2026-08-31). These figures update nightly as new sold data arrives and are not final — quarterly figures are finalized and frozen after each quarter closes.

Ontario at a Glance — Rolling 90 days

27 days
Median market time (CDOM, days)
unchanged vs 2026 Q2
55.7%
Sold within 30 days (%)
+1.2 pts vs 2026 Q2
23.7%
Sold at/above original asking (%)
-2.3 pts vs 2026 Q2
97.5%
Median sale-to-original-list ratio
unchanged vs 2026 Q2
16.9%
Listings with a price reduction (%)
-0.1 pts vs 2026 Q2
partial history — see methodology
3.6%
Median discount when below asking (%)
-0.4 pts vs 2026 Q2

City Rankings — Rolling 90 days

Freehold Townhouse · sorted by median market time — click any column to re-sort, click a city for its history. Cities below the disclosure floor (25 eligible sales) are listed but not ranked.

Median market time: How many days the typical home takes to sell, counting from when it first hit the market (relistings included). Fewer days = hotter market.
What does each column mean?
Sales:
How many eligible home sales the numbers are based on — more sales = more reliable numbers.
Median market time:
How many days the typical home takes to sell, counting from when it first hit the market (relistings included). Fewer days = hotter market.
Sold ≤ 30 days:
Share of homes that sold within a month. Higher = hotter market.
At/above asking:
Share of homes that sold for the original asking price or more. Higher = sellers are getting their price (hotter market).
Sale ÷ original ask:
The typical sale price as a share of the first asking price. 100% = homes sell for exactly what sellers first asked; below 100% = buyers pay less.
Reduction rate:
Share of sold homes that cut their asking price at least once before selling. Higher = sellers are having to lower expectations (cooler market).
Median discount:
When a home does sell below asking, this is the typical discount buyers got.
City ranking with median market time, sold-within-30-days share, at-or-above-asking share, sale-to-original-list ratio, price-reduction rate and median discount. Click a column heading to sort; click a city for its historical trend.
1Wasaga Beach3265 days25.0%3.1%96.4%21.9%3.8%
2Belleville2747 days44.4%7.4%97.0%18.5%3.2%
3Newmarket2540 days40.0%12.0%93.4%32.0%7.3%
4Burlington4130 days51.2%7.3%97.0%24.4%3.4%
5Hamilton11830 days51.7%15.3%95.8%19.5%4.7%
6Caledon3628 days52.8%8.3%96.4%16.7%4.0%
7Kingston3928 days53.8%15.4%96.6%25.6%3.8%
8Mississauga4628 days63.0%28.3%97.1%17.4%4.4%
9Oshawa3328 days51.5%30.3%97.8%24.2%4.3%
10Cambridge3227 days56.3%37.5%98.0%15.6%3.4%
11Ottawa71827 days56.3%19.9%97.9%19.2%3.0%
12Richmond Hill8725 days55.2%42.5%98.5%16.1%3.9%
13Brampton17524 days60.0%24.6%97.4%12.0%3.5%
14Ajax4624 days63.0%47.8%99.1%4.3%3.1%
15Kitchener4424 days70.5%45.5%99.2%11.4%3.8%
16Whitby6224 days64.5%24.2%98.2%12.9%2.5%
17Vaughan11323 days60.2%34.5%97.8%9.7%4.1%
18Oakville11322 days58.4%12.4%96.2%14.2%4.2%
19Barrie6421 days62.5%15.6%97.6%10.9%2.6%
20East Gwillimbury2521 days64.0%40.0%98.2%16.0%3.7%
21Milton11321 days67.3%16.8%97.4%16.8%3.1%
22Markham12820 days64.1%46.9%99.1%8.6%5.7%
23Whitchurch-stouffville2820 days64.3%35.7%98.8%10.7%2.5%
24Pickering4719 days68.1%38.3%99.1%6.4%2.4%
25Toronto21519 days68.4%36.3%97.5%11.6%4.5%
26Clarington4316 days74.4%32.6%98.7%16.3%1.8%

The shaded column (median market time) is coloured from cooler (blue) to hotter (red) market. Scroll the table sideways for more columns — the city column stays put.

On the Map — Median market time

Each dot is a qualifying city, colored by median market time (cdom, days). Every mapped value also appears in the city ranking table above.

Median market time
CoolerHotter

City History — Vaughan

A quarterly, plain-English view of how quickly Vaughan homes sold (freehold townhouse), how often they sold at or above the original asking price, how often sellers reduced their price, and how many sales were included.

View quarter

2026 Q3 is still in progress: figures can change as additional sales are recorded, until the quarter is finalized.

What changed in 2026 Q3

The typical sale took 23 days, 1 day shorter than 2026 Q2. The at/above-asking share rose to 33.8%, while price reductions became less common.

Selling time−1 dayvs 2026 Q2
At/above asking+2.0 ptsvs 2026 Q2
Reduction rate−7.1 ptsvs 2026 Q2
Sample strengthMeets floor

77 eligible sales meet the 50-sale disclosure floor. Read the result with property mix and seasonality in mind.

How many sales support this?
Total homes sold
77
−33 vs 2026 Q2
How quickly did homes sell?
Typical selling time
23 days
1 day faster vs 2026 Q2
How often was asking met?
Sold at/above asking
33.8%
+2.0 pts vs 2026 Q2
How often were prices cut?
Price reduction rate
6.5%
−7.1 pts vs 2026 Q2
How did sale compare to ask?
Sale-to-original-ask
97.8%
+1.5 pts vs 2026 Q2

1. Typical selling time

Median market time in days (relisting chains merged). Lower = homes generally sold faster.

01020302026 Q22026 Q32026 Q2: Typical selling time 24d24d2026 Q3: Typical selling time 23d23d
Homes took 1 day less to sell than in 2026 Q2.

2. Pricing behaviour

The two pricing measures are split into separate charts because their ranges are very different.

Sold at or above original asking

Share of sales that met or beat the seller's starting price.

20%30%40%2026 Q22026 Q32026 Q2: Sold at or above original asking 31.8%31.8%2026 Q3: Sold at or above original asking 33.8%33.8%

Received a price reduction

Share of sold homes with at least one asking-price cut.

0%5%10%15%2026 Q22026 Q32026 Q2: Received a price reduction 13.6%13.6%2026 Q3: Received a price reduction 6.5%6.5%

These answer different questions — a reduction rate is not the opposite of an at-or-above-asking rate, so read each on its own. Note the two charts use different scales.

Sale ÷ original ask100% = matched the original asking price

2026 Q3: 97.8% — the typical sale closed 2.2% below the original asking price.

Compared with 2026 Q2, the at/above-asking share moved +2.0 pts and the reduction rate moved −7.1 pts.

3. Total homes sold

Sales volume shown separately so it can't distort or compete with price and market-time metrics.

0501002026 Q2: 110 eligible sales1102026 Q22026 Q3: 77 eligible sales772026 Q3
A larger sample usually produces a more stable market reading. Quarters marked * are below the disclosure floor and shown for context only.

For buyers

In 2026 Q3, 6.5% of sold homes had a price reduction, while 33.8% still sold at or above the original asking price. Read both together rather than treating either as the whole picture.

For sellers

The typical sold home took 23 days to sell, and the typical sale-to-original-ask ratio was 97.8%. That describes completed sales in this period; it doesn't guarantee the same result for an individual property.

2026 Q3 summary for Vaughan: 77 homes sold; typical selling time 23 days; 33.8 percent sold at or above original asking; 6.5 percent received a price reduction; sale-to-original-ask ratio 97.8 percent.

Quarterly history for Vaughan
QuarterSalesMedian market timeAt/above askingReduction rateSale ÷ original ask
2026 Q211024 days31.8%13.6%96.3%
2026 Q37723 days33.8%6.5%97.8%

* below the disclosure floor for that quarter.

Market speedRolling 90 days

How fast homes actually sell, measured on full relisting chains — a home relisted three times counts its whole time on market, not just the last listing.

27 days
Median market time (CDOM, days) (Ontario)
9.0%
Sold within 7 days (%) (Ontario)
28.8%
Sold within 14 days (%) (Ontario)
55.7%
Sold within 30 days (%) (Ontario)
22.0%
On market over 60 days (%) (Ontario)
City ranking with median market time, sold-within-30-days share, at-or-above-asking share, sale-to-original-list ratio, price-reduction rate and median discount. Click a column heading to sort; click a city for its historical trend.
1Wasaga Beach3265 days0.0%6.3%25.0%56.3%
2Belleville2747 days11.1%11.1%44.4%40.7%
3Newmarket2540 days0.0%24.0%40.0%24.0%
4Burlington4130 days14.6%34.1%51.2%19.5%
5Hamilton11830 days5.9%22.0%51.7%23.7%
6Caledon3628 days8.3%33.3%52.8%19.4%
7Kingston3928 days5.1%30.8%53.8%28.2%
8Mississauga4628 days13.0%26.1%63.0%10.9%
9Oshawa3328 days6.1%21.2%51.5%24.2%
10Cambridge3227 days9.4%18.8%56.3%21.9%

Asking-price performanceRolling 90 days

How sale prices compare with what sellers originally asked. Ratios use the first asking price of the relisting chain, so re-lists at a lower price cannot flatter the numbers.

23.7%
Sold at/above original asking (%) (Ontario)
97.5%
Median sale-to-original-list ratio (Ontario)
98.3%
Median sale-to-final-list ratio (Ontario)
City ranking with median market time, sold-within-30-days share, at-or-above-asking share, sale-to-original-list ratio, price-reduction rate and median discount. Click a column heading to sort; click a city for its historical trend.
1Ajax4647.8%99.1%98.6%
2Markham12846.9%99.1%98.8%
3Kitchener4445.5%99.2%99.9%
4Richmond Hill8742.5%98.5%98.5%
5East Gwillimbury2540.0%98.2%98.6%
6Pickering4738.3%99.1%99.1%
7Cambridge3237.5%98.0%97.6%
8Toronto21536.3%97.5%97.8%
9Whitchurch-stouffville2835.7%98.8%98.8%
10Vaughan11334.5%97.8%97.3%

Price reductionsRolling 90 days

How often sellers cut the price before selling, how quickly, and by how much. Total reduction sums every observed cut against the original asking price.

16.9%
Listings with a price reduction (%) (Ontario)
27 days
Median days to first reduction (Ontario)
3.3%
Median first reduction (%) (Ontario)
3.3%
Median total reduction (% of original ask) (Ontario)

Price-change events have been captured in full since August 2026; earlier windows reflect the last observed change per listing only, so reduction figures for this period are a floor, not an exact rate.

City ranking with median market time, sold-within-30-days share, at-or-above-asking share, sale-to-original-list ratio, price-reduction rate and median discount. Click a column heading to sort; click a city for its historical trend.
1Newmarket2532.0%25 days3.3%3.3%
2Kingston3925.6%21 days3.3%3.3%
3Burlington4124.4%36 days3.2%3.2%
4Oshawa3324.2%22 days4.6%4.5%
5Wasaga Beach3221.9%42 days3.2%3.1%
6Hamilton11819.5%32 days3.9%3.9%
7Ottawa71819.2%27 days2.6%2.5%
8Belleville2718.5%155 days7.9%8.0%
9Mississauga4617.4%24 days3.7%3.7%
10Milton11316.8%24 days3.1%3.1%

Buyer negotiating roomRolling 90 days

When homes sell below the original asking price, how large the gap typically is.

76.3%
Sold below original asking (%) (Ontario)
3.6%
Median discount when below asking (%) (Ontario)
City ranking with median market time, sold-within-30-days share, at-or-above-asking share, sale-to-original-list ratio, price-reduction rate and median discount. Click a column heading to sort; click a city for its historical trend.
1Wasaga Beach3296.9%3.8%
2Burlington4192.7%3.4%
3Belleville2792.6%3.2%
4Caledon3691.7%4.0%
5Newmarket2588.0%7.3%
6Oakville11387.6%4.2%
7Hamilton11884.7%4.7%
8Kingston3984.6%3.8%
9Barrie6484.4%2.6%
10Milton11383.2%3.1%

Reports & Guides

Deeper analysis built on the same finalized snapshots, plus evergreen explainers for the metrics on this page.

The fastest-selling housing markets in Ontario

Median market time rankings, speed distribution and the biggest movers.

Where Ontario homes sell above asking

Above-ask rates and both sale-to-list ratios — with the list-low context.

Ontario home price reductions

Where sellers are cutting, how fast, and how deep.

Homebuyer negotiating room

Where the asking-to-sold gap is widest — and what it can’t promise.

Detached home market heat

The detached segment: speed, asking-price performance and reductions.

Condo market heat

Condo apartments, tracked separately from freehold.

Townhouse market heat

Freehold rows and condo townhouses, side by side.

City report: Whitby

Ontario’s fastest-selling market, up close.

City report: Kitchener

The province’s most competitive market on asking price.

City report: Hamilton

A big market where price reductions run high.

Toronto neighbourhoods (pilot)

Neighbourhood-level market speed — our below-city pilot.

Guide: Days on market (DOM), explained

What DOM measures and how relistings distort it.

Guide: Original vs final asking price

Why the first ask is the honest benchmark.

Guide: Home price reductions

Reading cut history as a buyer; timing a cut as a seller.

Guide: Sale-to-list price ratio

How to read 98% vs 103% — and the list-low trap.

Archive & Downloads

Every published period, including the current quarter-to-date snapshot. Preliminary figures change nightly; finalized periods are frozen and never change without a visible revision. CSV downloads include the full city × property-type aggregate table (plus the Toronto neighbourhood pilot rows) with methodology version and usage notes.

Usage conditions: figures are free to cite and republish in aggregate form with attribution to “PropertyMesh Ontario Market Heat Index” and a link back to this page. Don’t present them as official board statistics, strip the disclosure flags, or use them as investment advice — full rules in the methodology.

Historical archive of Market Heat Index periods
PeriodStatusSales analysedFinalizedDownload
2026 Q3Preliminary · quarter to date23,362Through August 31, 2026CSV
2026 Q2REVISED (rev 2)36,197August 27, 2026CSV

Methodology & Notes

Source. MLS sold records for Ontario resale residential properties (detached, semi-detached, freehold and condo townhouses, condo apartments), refreshed nightly. Sales are dated by the purchase-contract date.

Market time. The MLS feed does not provide a reliable cumulative days-on-market figure, so we compute our own: when a home is relisted (same address and unit, prior listing ending within a validated window), the listings are chained together and time on market accumulates across the whole chain.

Asking-price ratios. Sale-to-original-list uses the first asking price of the relisting chain — a home relisted at a lower price cannot flatter the ratio. Sale-to-final-list uses the sold listing's last asking price.

Price reductions. Reduction metrics count observed price-decrease events; the total reduction sums all cuts against the original asking price (increases are ignored). Full event capture began in August 2026 — periods starting earlier are flagged as partial and understate reduction activity.

Disclosure floors. City figures require at least 50 eligible sales for the period (25 per property-type cut). Cells below the floor are shown as “insufficient data” rather than ranked — small samples produce unstable, misleading rates.

Coverage. Figures are based on TRREB (Toronto Regional Real Estate Board) transactions via the PropTx feed. Coverage of the Greater Toronto Area is comprehensive; outside the GTA, only sales involving a TRREB member are captured, so coverage is partial and cities below the disclosure floor are shown but not ranked. The series starts in Q3 2025; the feed's historical coverage before that is incomplete and would misstate the market. Toronto MLS districts are merged into Toronto, and London's feed subdivisions are merged into London.

Frozen periods. Completed quarters and years are finalized and frozen: their published values never change silently. Corrections are released as visible revisions with a reason.

Privacy & rights. Everything published here is an aggregate that meets the disclosure floors above. Individual sold prices are not shown on this page; listing-level sold data is available on PropertyMesh behind a free sign-in, per MLS data rules.

Citing this data. Free to cite with attribution to PropertyMesh (“PropertyMesh Ontario Market Heat Index”). Each archived period has a CSV download with the full aggregate table, methodology version and usage notes. For questions or custom cuts, contact us.